Saturday, December 8, 2012

Six Sigma and Lewin's Change Model

 
Six Sigma and Change Management

Every institution is vulnerable, no matter how great.  No matter how much you’ve achieved, no matter how far you’ve gone, no matter how much power you’ve garnered, you are vulnerable to decline.  There is no law of nature that the most powerful will inevitably remain at the top.
– Jim Collins6

Introducing Lewin’s Change Model
As Collins eloquently writes, if a company does not change and adapt to a changing environment, it will likely die.  Managing change is the main role of a leader.  Jack Welch is well aware of this, and made this an important point in his definition.  Since Six Sigma can and should be used as a mechanism for change, it is logical to see its crucial role in developing leaders. 

Let us look at this idea of leadership and change management a little further.  One of the cornerstone models for understanding organizational change was developed by Kurt Lewin back in the 1940s, and still holds true today. His model, known as Unfreeze – Change – Refreeze, refers to the three-stage process of change he describes. Lewin, a physicist as well as social scientist, explained organizational change using the analogy of changing the shape of a block of ice.7 In order to change the shape of a cube of ice into a pyramid of ice of equal volume, you have to unfreeze it, place the water into a new mold, and refreeze it. On both ends of the change, the process is held in equilibrium, with some forces exerting helpful pressure, and others negative pressure.  This equilibrium can be depicted using a force field analysis.


Six Sigma seen through Lewin’s model
The Six Sigma methodology can very intuitively be framed following Lewin’s change model.


Define/Measure
The performance of a culture, before a Six Sigma deployment, is driven primarily by the amount of inertia it experiences, i.e. a level of comfort with “status quo.”  This status quo often leads to sub-optimal processes, processes that are “good enough” and characterized by significant waste (muda) and excessive variation.  As the leadership team becomes aware that increased profitability could be achieved with better processes, and business analytics yield new information and insights, these helping forces may lead to a decision to improve operational excellence.  One way to accomplish this is through a Six Sigma deployment.  Not only are these forces seen at the organizational level, but they are also present at the beginning of most Six Sigma projects.  Status quo, muda and variation dictate a process’ capability, while a financial analysis (linked to profitability) and baselining of the process (read analytics) help describe opportunities.  Change begins with a culture that challenges the status quo.  If status quo is accepted, waste and process variation will be tolerated.  There will be no reason or incentive to address short-comings, if short-comings are even recognized.  Lean Six Sigma is most effective and durable when it builds on an underlying culture that demands continuous gains in efficiencies.  Such a culture typically exhibits a bias for improvement activities, or to use Deming’s words, “a constancy of purpose toward continuous improvement”

Analyze
As the team (leadership or project) becomes discontent with status-quo it begins the process of unfreezing the existing process.  Just because this is “how we’ve always done it,” does not mean that the process cannot be improved.  At this stage, the process is subjected to a root cause analysis.  The team can use qualitative tools, such as brainstorming, Ishikawa and affinity diagrams, cause and effect matrices, and failure modes and effects analysis. It may also use Six Sigma’s quantitative arsenal, with weapons such as box plots, dot-plots, histograms and other graphical tools, and a plethora of hypothesis tests, to include correlation and multiple regression analysis.  At this point, the process assumptions should have been shaken to their core, achieving an unfreezing of the process, and identifying new hypothesis and theories about how its performance is driven.  As we now want to move from correlation to causation, we are ready for experimentation.

Improve
It is in this stage that we really begin to improve the process. Deliberate experimentation, usually through design of experiments enable to team to identify true cause and effect relationships, and build models that optimize the performance of the process the team is trying to improve.  Indeed, we are changing the process through improvement, molding it into its new shape.

Control

Quality (Solution) = Impact (Solution) x Permanence (Solution)  (Equation 2.1)

As seen in equation 2.1, the impact of the solution is determined in the Improve Phase, while its permanence is greatly influenced in the Control Phase; the Control Phase is a key aspect of Six Sigma.  In this step, the team is truly attempting to refreeze the process at its new and improved level of performance.  The forces present at this stage differ of the forces before the change effort.  Key Six Sigma tools and techniques are employed to that end.  Control Plans (CP) identify, critical input by critical input, the specifications at which the process need to be set, and what activities need to be conducted on an on-going basis at predetermined intervals.  Mistake proofing (Poka Yoke) relates to the robustness of the solution, i.e. the propensity for a mistake or error to occur.  Usually through design consideration, the ability for a defect to manifest itself needs to be minimized.  Finally, on-going monitoring of the process can be achieved through Statistical Process Control (SPC), a process developed by Shewhart at Bell Labs, and refined later by W.E. Deming.  As these forces are put into place, great care needs to be taken of not introducing complexity and over-burden (muri) into the process, as these are hindering forces that will make sustaining the improvement more difficult.  As Pascal Dennis writes in Getting the Right Things Done, “Complexity reflects a primitive state; simplicity marks the end of a process of refining.”8

References
6.     J. Collins, “How the Mighty Fall,” HarperCollins Books, 2009
8.     P. Dennis, “Getting the Right Things Done,” The Lean Enterprise Institute, 2006